Monotheism and discovery.

Hearing about the Alhambra today it occurred to me that the main innovation of monotheism is certainty.

“There is no God but God” is not a religious statement (“There is a god” would suffice for that), it’s a philosophical claim.

“There is only one god” is not so much a statement of faith in the beyond as it is a statement of faith in what man can know.

It is ironic that this first step towards scientific thinking should be a leap of faith.

Google Wave, the failed MOO.

A few days ago I joked that Google Wave has a lot in common with Dungeons & Dragons. The next day Google announced it would abandon Google Wave.

After reading responses to Google’s announcement I got the impression that half of Wave’s potential users didn’t know how to use it and the other half, the one’s who were willing to figure it out, couldn’t find other people with whom to make it up as they went along.

The latter problem suggests an alternate rollout. Google said they intended Wave to replace email. While email is undeniably useful for work it’s also, like all communication, a form of play.

Perhaps, Google could have introduced and refined the concepts of Wave by presenting it as a way to play and nothing more. Such modesty would have ruffled feathers but it could have stimulated valuable and relatively low-cost development from the public at large.

Google has famously out-sourced some of its development using millions of “beta testers”. Why it didn’t do so with Wave, a product as open-ended and thus deserving of social development, is, to me, an interesting mystery.

previously: Facebook as a MOO.

Will OMG go the way of OK? (A facetious phrase that became commonplace.)

I enjoy saying “oh em gee” and wonder if my grandchildren will still use this phrase just as we still use the phrase “oh kay” which in its time was also a facetious phrasing:

Etymonline:

1839, only survivor of a slang fad in Boston and New York c.1838-9 for abbreviations of common phrases with deliberate, jocular misspellings (cf. K.G. for “no go,” as if spelled “know go”); in this case, “oll korrect.”

Merriam-Webster as paraphrased in Wikipedia:

This apparently resulted from a fad for comical abbreviations that flourished in the late 1830s and 1840s. The abbreviation in this case is from the misspelled “oll korrect.”

Countering a movement of feelings, not ideas.

Or, why a sustained, national commitment to mental health will do wonders for our constitution. As prompted by this post on Metafilter.

Richard Hofstader writing in 1954 with my changes in brackets:

The restlessness, suspicion and fear manifested in various phases of the [Tea Party] revolt give evidence of the real suffering which the [Tea Party member] experiences in his capacity as a citizen. He believes himself to be living in a world in which he is spied upon, plotted against, betrayed, and very likely destined for total ruin. He feels that his liberties have been arbitrarily and outrageously invaded. He is opposed to almost everything that has happened in American politics for the past twenty years. He hates the very thought of [Bill Clinton]. He is disturbed deeply by American participation in the United Nations, which he can see only as a sinister organization. He sees his own country as being so weak that it is constantly about to fall victim to subversion; and yet he feels that it is so all-powerful that any failure it may experience in getting its way in the world — for instance, in the [Middle East] — cannot possibly be due to its limitations but must be attributed to its having been betrayed. He is the most bitter of all our citizens about our involvement in the wars of the past, but seems the least concerned about avoiding the next one. While he naturally does not like [Islamic fundamentalism], what distinguishes him from the rest of us who also dislike it is that he shows little interest in, is often indeed bitterly hostile to such realistic measures as might actually strengthen the United States vis-à-vis [Islamic fundamentalists]. He would much rather concern himself with the domestic scene, where [Islamic fundamentalism] is weak, than with those areas of the world where it is really strong and threatening. He wants to have nothing to do with the democratic nations of Western Europe, which seem to draw more of his ire than the [Middle East], and he is opposed to all “give-away programs” designed to aid and strengthen these nations. Indeed, he is likely to be antagonistic to most of the operations of our federal government except Congressional investigations, and to almost all of its expenditures. Not always, however, does he go so far as the speaker at the [Tea Party convention] who attributed the greater part of our national difficulties to “this nasty, stinking 16th {income tax} Amendment.”

Nothing of consequence has changed between now and then, between their revolt and ours.

What role has this political movement played over the last half-century? Is it even a political movement, at all, Hofstader channeling Adorno wonders, or rather a way of avoiding politics; a nihilism disguised even from its own adherents as conservatism.

Is it a way of thinking or simply a way of feeling? A feeling which expresses itself in rhetoric that does not wish to change the status quo – which provokes it – but instead wishes only to amplify its own feelingness? Is this process a way of prolonging a pain (and/or anger) that has become meaningful and helpful?

Toxic feelings are intoxicating. As anyone who has ever escaped from the vicious cycle of a domestic dispute can attest, strong feelings can become pleasurable, however perverse this may seem from the outside or after the fact.

We “nurse” grudges. Strong feelings protect themselves by steering their subjects away from resolution. They are a flame that does not want to be extinguished, that would rather burn down its entire world than be put out.

People participate in politics out of a sense of shared responsibility as well as self interest. But self-interest need not be strictly rational. The process of politics can also satisfy emotional needs. A political movement which satisfies primarily emotional needs is not concerned with real change. In fact, it’s not strictly speaking a political movement but rather a social one. It is motivated not by ideas but by feelings.

From a political standpoint, it might thus be counterproductive to engage an an emotionally-driven, social movement as if it were primarily an ideologically-driven political one.

This does not mean ignoring its political import as that would mean abandoning the political process. Rather, it requires that the political response be complemented with a cultural strategy. In addition to addressing the political claims made by such movements – precisely because they are incoherent and/or inconsistent with the U.S. Constitution (created as it was to “establish Justice”) – we must also address the “real suffering” these positions mask.

Even if these are self-inflicted wounds (e.g., the cognitive dissonance and thus real discomfort a racist feels upon having to accept a mixed-race President), they are wounds, nonetheless. In fact, I hazard that these are often proxy wounds.

I believe that such movements provide a socially acceptable cover for expressing deep personal pain: “I hurt.” They are additionally appealing because they allow such expressions without requiring of the injured party that she or he examine their own role in their discomfort.

They provide a public alibi for private distress. By immersing themselves in a broader social narrative – thin and convoluted as it may be – the participants avoid reckoning with their own personal narrative.

The incoherence of the Tea Party is thus not a bug, it’s a feature. Its members are not looking for integration, they are avoiding it. Such movements have more in common with the romanticism of religious revivals than with the realism of political organizations.

In the essay cited above, Hofstader goes on to ask if this isn’t a distinctly American condition, “a product of the rootlessness and heterogeneity of American life, and above all, of its peculiar scramble for status and its peculiar search for secure identity.” But I suggest this is a universal condition, a response to the insecurity of identity. The less noble face of the religious impulse.

First, they came for the art I did not care for, and I said so many things…

I was surprised to find yet another conversation about the Rodarte makeup line for MAC on MetaFilter this morning, some two weeks after the controversy began.

This discussion on MetaFilter is mostly more of the same: the policing of art with a variety of interchangeable though not always compatible standards. For example, commercial art must be X, art for women must be Y, art about cities in developing countries must be Z, etc.

Which prompted me to wonder: if one common standard for “politically conscious” critiques of art is whether the work introduces a difficult topic to mass media, hasn’t the Rodarte makeup line, facile and shallow as it was intended to be, been more “successful” than the Lourdes Portillo documentary, deep and thought-provoking as it is and was intended to be?

According to Google, there are currently 32,600 results for “lourdes portillo juarez” versus 281,000 results for “rodarte juarez.”

Personally, I don’t believe art should be judged by its political consequences. Political acts should be judged by their impact. Likewise, art that is, in essence, a political gesture should be judged by its political impact. As for the Rodarte makeup line, here’s an excerpt of my comment on MetaFilter:

I don’t care for the Rodarte fashion. It’s purposely dark and creepy. That’s what they do. Should I be outraged by their aesthetic in general or only when it invokes a reference that is mainstream?

…What are appropriate topics for fashion? Are they different than topics appropriate for art? Why?

…Or, simply: fashion is a superficial art form. On purpose. If your critique of fashion is that fashion is superficial, it may be your observation that is shallow and lazy.

Stock prices Will Be What they Will Be

This is one of those super obvious things that you realize after years of bumping up against it:

The price of stocks is a look into the future. You sell it based on what you think it’s going to be worth, you buy it for what you think it’s going to be worth. Either way, its present price is a reflection of a future price. Moreover, these predictions become reality the more people make the same prediction.

There’s not too many things I can think of that are so strongly tied to a future state.

The luckiest kid on Earth.

What if you could arrange it such that people who are really lucky married other people who are also really lucky? (You could measure luck in all sorts of ways.) What if you did this for ten generations?

Wouldn’t the great9 grandchild of the luckiest couples on Earth be the luckiest kid on Earth?

The luckiest kid on Earth would be a nice story for children.

Aside
I’ve stolen the idea of breeding for luck from Larry Niven’s Ringworld, a science fiction novel I read an-astonishing-to-me 25 years ago. It’s quite a sticky idea to have stayed with me all these years.

Dungeons & Dragons vs. Google Wave

The Complete Guide to Google Wave:

Google Wave is a new web-based collaboration tool that’s notoriously difficult to understand. This guide will help. Here you’ll learn the ins and outs of how to use Google Wave to get things done with your group.

The Dungeon Master’s Guide:

Within these pages, you’ll discover the tools and options you need to create detailed worlds and dynamic adventures for your players to experience in the Dungeons & Dragons roleplaying game.

The Craigslist market rate for…

It would be cool to know what the recent market rate is on your local Craigslist for a particular item before posting the same or a similar item for sale.

Although if this pricing index became popular it would probably eliminate some really sweet deals.

Yes, your mind is playing tricks on you. It’s how it works.

People who are in the business of selling things have always tried to make the leap from observation, “People who like X also like Y”, to prediction, “People who like X will also like Y.”

Can supercomputers and massive amounts of data help businesses make that leap more consistently – with less risk of falling flat? For a few years now, Netflix has been trying to answer that question. No doubt Google and Amazon are also engaged in the same experiment as are hundreds if not thousands of other groups.

It’s noteworthy that the building block of these prediction engines is the human mind on a mass scale; or, more precisely, what logic we can infer from human behavior as expressed via simple human-computer interfaces – liking, recommending, a one-to-five star rating system, purchasing, gifting, etc. It’s a curious “gold rush” to tap the collective conscious.

We spend a great deal of time thinking, talking and acting upon this collective conscious, a complex system of actions and reactions that define our society, from politics to marketing, from trend-setting acts like Lady Gaga to the recent controversy around vaccines and autism.

Yet we seldom talk about the collective unconscious, a concept which to me is as essential as other simple machines like the pulley or inclined plane. Invoking the collective unconscious, if only as a tool, allows us to take a interesting perspective on how thinking happens.

To me, the tool works by laying out a few rules based on observable phenomena: that we are not exactly who we think we are; that an idea may contain another, very different idea; that we can never see the ground upon which we are standing – that for there to be a known there must also always be an unknowable unknown; that we communicate with one another in ways we are not aware of; that we think in ways we cannot be fully aware of lest that awareness impede the very process of our thinking.

Let’s say our predictive engines get very good at catering to consumer wants; that 9.999 times out of 10, the engine I use to help me choose the next movie I watch results in a highly pleasurable movie viewing experience. Much of the data being used to make these predictions is coming from the aggregated choices of other people (in the future, it’s not just Soylent Green that is made out of people!) To the extent that these people are engaged in conscious choices, let’s assume they are also being guided by unconscious choices.

In the same way that these social filtering mechanisms create feedback loops whereby a popular item can become a super-popular item, don’t they also become feedback loops for unconscious trends?

Thus, instead of one person committing a “Freudian slip,” we can imagine an entire society committing a Freudian slip? In essence, an entire society playing a massive trick on itself.

I’d love to see that. But, then, by the very rules of the unconscious, I can’t.

Countering the real threat of fake news.

Short version: To counter the real threat of fake stories – e.g., “Right-Wingers Stand By Their Fabricated Mexican Drug Cartel Raid Story” – it’s not enough to expose a lie by replacing it with a rational proof. We must also require that the leaders who benefit from such lies renounce them publicly.

Long version: We’re not so modern, our society is not so transparent, our media are not so well trained and our networks not so efficient that we are not at constant risk of visiting death and destruction upon millions as a result of a single well-placed lie. Or, worse, the lack of a truth.

The Spanish American War was, at the very least, co-produced by the yellow press. The same could be said for the second U.S. invasion of Iraq. Dozens of modern-era conflicts around the world have been launched with the help of rumor mongers. Or, more precisely, with the help of their audiences.

In the U.S., the rise of online media has re-enforced a concurrent trend towards fragmentation. It is now possible to recreate the isolation that afflicted much of 18th and 19th century America using 21st century tools.

It’s not the rare community of Amish who live curiously out of touch with mainstream reality, but the millions of Americans in every city and state who choose to break away from the difficulties of reality – the paradoxes of being human, so frail and so noble – by immersing themselves in a stream of “perfect news,” where no revelation ever contradicts dogma.

We turn to news for information that is “new” and thus valuable. By definition, that which is news is a discontinuity in the state of things. (If the weather was 70°F every day and night of the year, if it never changed, there would be no interest in weather reports.) True news is challenging. It is a process by which we confront the external.

But orthodoxy does not tolerate change from without. Thus, “perfect news” must simulate the experience of encountering new-ness which, quite to the contrary, is old as it never challenges prejudices or held beliefs.

Perfect news – or propaganda – is thus a fantastic and especially pernicious trap. It’s the appearance of a rational process which disguises an ongoing flight into fancy. It’s the inspector who signs off on a building filled with empty fire extinguishers. The hospital pharmacy stocked with placebos. The emergency phone that has been unplugged from its jack.

Such entirely superficial arrangements inevitably fall apart. Idiots do not make effective leaders. Communities under the spell of crazed authoritarians or a collective delusion always collapse. (The emperor’s new clothes is an ancient and universal reminder.) But dupes play an indispensable role in every con. Even complex democracies such as our own, where there are myriad checks and balances to prevent such catastrophes, can host dangerous con games.

Well-informed, rational leaders can benefit tremendously from the support of constituents who have lost their grip on reality. History is rife with examples of leaders who have “shorted” their own clients (supporters) by making private deals that are contrary to their own public and/or their constituents’ positions. (The person selling the magic beans seldom believes they are magical – otherwise, why put them up for sale?)

These cons can only be carried out for as long as the constituents believe their leaders share their delusions. By forcing leaders who are playing a con to lay out their positions, these leaders are forced to take on the exposure inherent in that position. Live by the lie, die by the lie.

Side note
Whatever the short-term costs of news gathering may be, they are an essential “operating expense” for maintaining a transparent and thus efficient marketplace.

We’re not quite sure how we will pay to expose lies and replace them with rational proofs – i.e., journalism in the digital age – but I think we can be sure that we’ll find a way to cover this cost as long as we’re all invested in an efficient market.

Movies: Inception, a parade of ornate MacGuffins.

Movies look like dreams because we make sense of movies the same way we make sense of dreams, ignoring the gaps between scenes, the discontinuity, the leaps in logic.

To make a movie about dreams is easy: tell the audience they are watching a dream. But to make a great movie about dreams is much harder: you have to inspire the audience to care about what happens after telling them, repeatedly, that none of what they are seeing is really happening.

Inception doesn’t rise to that challenge. It focuses its considerable energies not on why we dream or how we think but rather on its wind-up plot, a fascinating whirling mechanism that has captivated millions.

But who cares when this spinning top falls? No one in the movie appears to. I doubt the director does. Perhaps audience members who bought a large soda do, especially after a two and a half hour Parade of MacGuffins.

Had the director and writers chosen to be either less or more serious about dreams, viewers might be less likely to feel they’ve been taken for a ride.

It’s no bother to be dropped off exactly where you started if you know you are boarding a roller coaster with its closed loop and mechanical thrills.

But to be told you’re on a journey to deep insights and then get spun around for a while before being dropped off, only to realize, as your inner ear settles, that you’re none the wiser, is a let down.

Synecdoche, New York | Being John Malkovich – genuine feelings + awesome action sequences = Inception.